Jezreel Corrales vs Alberto Machado Betting Odds and Prediction

By Boxing

Jezreel Corrales vs Alberto Machado Preview Oct. 21st

The WBA Super World Super Featherweight Title will be on the line at the Turning Stone Resort and Casino in New York this Saturday, October 31st southpaw Jezreel Corrales of Panama defends his crown for the third time against unbeaten southpaw Alberto Machado of Puerto Rico. Corrales last fought in July when he beat Robinson Castellanos by a 10-round technical decision. Machado’s last outing was a 10-round unanimous decision over Carlos Morales in August. The 12-round bout can be seen live in North America on HBO while fans in the UK can catch the action on BoxNation.

Corrales vs Machado Betting Odds

Here are the winner odds from online sportsbook

  • Alberto Machado +270
  • Jezreel Corrales -400

My Pick

The 26-year-old Corrales enters the bout with a fine 22-1 record along with just 8 Kos. He’s currently on a 21-bout winning streak after losing his second pro fight by four-round unanimous decision to Jhonatan Arenas in 2009. His biggest wins have been over Castellanos, Takashi Uchiyama (twice), Rene Alvarado, Irving Berry, Jonathan Perez and Walter Estrada. However, his bout against Perez was changed to a no-decision when Corrales tested positive for cannabis. Corrales doesn’t have much in the way of power as his current knockout ratio is just 33 per cent.

He turned pro in 2009 and has boxed 137 rounds since then. The champion stands 5-feet-6-inches tall with a 67-inch reach. Corrales is a good counter puncher and defensive fighter. But when you combine that with his lack of power it means he’s not exactly the most exciting boxer to watch. However, his power may be a little underrated. His chin may not be the steadiest either as Castellanos dropped him twice in his last outing. He’s on a bit of a knockout roll with five of his past eight bouts ending via a stoppage. He also lacks a bit when it comes to experience against Grade A opponents.

The 27-year-old Machado climbs into the ring with a perfect record of 18-0 with 15 Kos. It’s obvious that he has quite a bit of power as his current knockout ratio is an impressive 83 per cent. He turned pro back in 2012 and has fought just 43 rounds since then due to his knack of stopping his opponents. He’s also quite big for a super featherweight as he’s 5-feet-10-inches tall with a reach of 72 inches. This gives him a four-inch height advantage and a five-inch edge in reach. If there’s a knock against Machado its that he hasn’t faced any top-10 opposition up to now.


Corrales is a bit of an awkward boxer and there are question marks about his chin and power. If he can handle Machado’s best shots then there’s a good chance he can retain his title by decision. Machado needs to use his height and reach to advantage here, but he’s unproven at this point. He’s taking a big step up in class and will either pass the teat or be sent back to the drawing board if he’s not ready. This should be a competitive bout and Machado has a legitimate shot at taking the title. I think his size and power actually give him the edge here and I’ll go out non a limb and take Machado in an upset.

I smell an upset here with a Machado win.

Play: Machado +270 @

Check out my recent boxing betting picks to see my current form.


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