Jose Ivan Guardado vs Robson Conceicao Betting Odds and Prediction

By Boxing

Jose Ivan Guardado vs Robson Conceicao Preview April 13th, 2024

Brazil’s Robson Conceicao is back in the ring this Saturday, April 13th as he takes on Jose Ivan Guardado Mexico. The eight-rounder from Corpus Christi, Texas can be seen live in America on the ESPN and ESPN+ platform while fans in the UK can catch it on Sky Sports Action. Conceicao last fought in November when he survived a pair of knockdowns to battle to a 12-round draw with Emanuel Navarrete in a shot at the WBO Junior Lightweight Title. Guardao last boxed in November when he stopped Aramis Solis in the second round.

Guardado vs Conceicao Betting Odds

Here are the betting odds from online sportsbook (full review here).

  • Jose Ivan Guardado +1600
  • Robson Conceicao -5000

My Pick

The 35-year-old Conceicao is best known for his draw with Navarrete; his 2022 defeat to Shakur Stevenson when he dropped a 12-round unanimous decision for the vacant WBC and WBO Super Featherweight Belts; his controversial unanimous-decision loss to Oscar Valdez in 2021 in a shot at the WBC Super Featherweight Crown and for winning a gold medal at the 2018 Olympics in Brazil as a lightweight. He also competed at the 2012 Olympics in England where he was beaten by Josh Taylor in his first contest and fought at the 2008 games in China where he was also beaten in his first fight.

In addition, Conceicao competed in several World Amateur Championships and dropped a close decision to Vasyl Lomachenko in 2011. He’s built a record of 17-2-1 as a pro with 8 Ko’s and has average power as 47.1 per cent of his victories have been by stoppage. He’s also gone the distance in five of his last six fights. Conceicao stands just over 5-feet-10 inches tall with a 70-inch reach and has boxed 129 rounds since making his pro debut in 2016.

Conceicao’s fights against top-notch competition as a pro were against Navarrete, Stevenson and Valdez and he fell just short but arguably could have earned the decision Navarrete and against Valdez despite being docked a point in the ninth round for hitting the champion behind the head. The Brazilian’s biggest wins so far have been against the likes of Xavier Martinez, Luis Coria, Carlos Ruiz, Edgar Cantu, Joey Laviolette and Eduardo Pereira Dos Reis. He has a decent chin but was dropped in the second round by Coria in 2020 and was dropped by Navarrete in his last outing.

Guardado is a full 10 years younger than Conceicao as he’s 25 and carries around a record of 15-1-1 with 5 Ko’s. He has 76 rounds of experience under his belt since turning pro in 2017 as a teenager. He also lacks power as just 33.3 per cent of his victories have been by stoppage and he’s gone the distance in six of his past eight contests. Unfortunately there’s no height and reach information on Guardado so we don’t know how he stacks up physically against Conceicao.

The lone defeat on Guardado’s pro record was a six-round majority decision to Eduardo Cortes Hernandez last June. His lone draw was a six-round decision with Lorenzo Antonio Juarez in 2021. he also fought to a no-contest with Oscar Ortega Armenta in 2019 when their bout was called off due to accidental head butt. Guardado has faced domestic level opponents only during his career and this will be his first fight outside of Mexico. Just seven of his 17 opponents have entered the ring with a winning record.


Conceicao has fine boxing skills but has always fallen short when faced with a big task such as a title fight and at the Olympics. He won’t be in that position this weekend though as he’s facing a young journeyman. Guardado is 10 years younger but lacks power and shouldn’t really be a threat to Conceicao. I’m expecting Conceicao to come out on top in this keep-busy fight and the best bet would be by stoppage.

Conceicao may be 10 years older but is a couple of levels above Guardado.

Play Conceicao -5000 @

Check out my recent boxing betting picks to see my current form.

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