Tensions are high rolling into the second half of this AFC East rivalry with the Miami Dolphins (3-3) heading up the east coast to battle the New York Jets (3-4).
In game 1 Nick Folk kicked a 33-yard field goal in overtime to claim a victory that was overshadowed by a season ending knee injury to all-pro cornerback Derelle Revis.
Reggie Bush also left that game in the first half with a knee injury, but will be in the line-up for Sunday’s matchup.
Bush said Revis’ injury was an instance of “what goes around comes around” in reaction to Rex Ryan’s statement that the Jets were going to put “hot sauce” on the Dolphin tailback. Bush returned the following week but has struggled with just 2.8 yards per carry in his last three outings.
This game is important for both clubs but it has become particularly crucial for the Jets having dropped three of their last four. They will need Mark Sanchez to play more like he did against the Patriots one week ago when he had a season-high 328 passing yards.
Sanchez has struggled in three home meetings against Miami, only connecting on 49.0 percent of his passes for 682 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception. He will be facing a defensive squad that has only allowed a collective 27 points in their last two contests (both victories).
It seems Ryan Tannehill is on the correct path, completing 66.7 for 839 yards in his last 3 games. Prior to that run the Jets held the Rookie to 16-36 passes for 196 yards and a pick-six returned by Laron Landry.
Miami Dolphins +2 (-110) @ New York Jets (betting prediction)
Now that the bye weeks are in full effect there are some interesting trends developing. 20 teams have now played a game leading into their bye week and the numbers are not good for these teams as they are just 4-16 ATS and 5-11 SU to date.
Conversely, teams coming off their bye 8-2 ATS (if you bought early on the Bears at -5.5). In week 8 we see the highest amount of teams coming off their bye as the Chargers, Broncos, Dolphins, Eagles, Chiefs, and Falcons all return. The pre-bye teams are New England, New York Jets, San Francisco, and Saint Louis.
Miami is just 5-12-1 ATS versus the Jets over their past 18 meetings, and a miserable 3-9 SU in their last 12 on the highway in the series. The Fish are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road contests, but the Jets are a surprisingly perfect 3-0 as the favourite this year.
Look back a bit further and the numbers get better for Miami. They are 14-5 ATS in all road games over the last three seasons, and 8-1 in games played on turf over the last 3 years. I’m taking the points with the Fish.
Play: Miami +2 (5Dimes.eu)
Get on board this teaser: Miami +9/Under 47.5
1-1 in single plays and 2-0 in teaser plays last week.
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