My circadian rhythms still haven’t adjusted to year-round interleague play and this weekend’s matchup is a real shock to the system. I’m used to the Sox meeting the Phils early in the summer to basically kick-off the interleague period. It would be tough to call it a treat, but Philadelphia’s trip to Boston early in September does provide us with a possible angle on Friday. We didn’t back the Twins on Wednesday and it’s a good thing. Minny goes onto Houston for the weekend and they could be a later add for tomorrow. For now, our first play is contained to the friendly confines of Fenway Park.
Friday night’s matchup features Adam Morgan against Joe Kelly. Ready to hop on that under?! It might not sound like the winningest of plans but remember the general public felt that same shudder you just did when considering playing these two to go under at the Fens. But while they aren’t the names you like to hear, both starters have been going great into September.
For starters, Joe Kelly went 6-0 in August. And suddenly those season totals don’t look so shabby. His first August win (on the 1st) was a fortunate result but Kelly went 2-1-0-2-1 runs allowed in his next five. He gets the chance to pitch at home against a terrible Philadelphia lineup so why not carry those type of numbers into his first September shot. For the first time in a while, I like Joe Kelly tomorrow.
Morgan got hit hard by the Mets two starts ago when New York came in and ransacked the Phillies at Citizens Bank. But quality starts against the Padres (twice), Blue Jays (!!!) and Brewers make up the other four starts of his last five. The rookie southpaw has been a nice find for Philly this year. And his craft has proven to be tough on unfamiliar teams. Once known around the league, he doesn’t project out as a top-of-the-rotation type of guy but for he seems to at least resemble something close.
Boston’s offensive awakening has seemed to cool a little so we’ll stick to this under and feel pretty good about it.
Free Pick: Under 9.5 -115
YTD: 21-17-4 -0.31
2014: 45-28-3 +9.02