We closed well four days ago with our triad of plays, but another Cleveland starter blew up in our face in the early day game. This time it was Josh Tomlin who had his worst start of the season and single-handedly tossed our under. It was Corey Kluber just earlier this month against the Blue Jays who did the same. Shall we go for three? This time we’re betting on Carlos Carrasco to help us keep it under.
Carrasco entered this season with a little bit of hype after a promising 2015, but he made just four starts (the first of which being poor) before landing on the Disabled List. He’s bounced back after missing over a month to look the part of an ace for Cleveland ever since. He gave up four earned in his first start back from injury and hasn’t allowed more than two in five starts since. The last three have been particularly impressive. Carrasco has thrown 22.1 innigns, allowed 10 hits, two runs and has fanned 26 batters, highlighted by 14 in 7.1 innings in Toronto. You get that feeling Carrasco is one of those guys who could be okay with pushing the All-Star break back a few weeks. Then again, he’ll probably just move up in the Indians rotation after the game. The man is in form and he’s sure to like getting one more start before the league pauses for a few days.
Masahiro Tanaka has been injury-free and consistently good in 2016. It seems to me to be conclusive by now: if Tanaka is healthy, he’s one of the very best pitchers in baseball. He struggled a little bit last time against a good Texas team, allowing six runs in as many innings, but that doesn’t really have any bearing on this one. Cleveland has been hot, but I’ll take the dominant pitcher against a hot offense in this spot. With Carrasco on the other side, this one has the makings of a duel. And the total number sits relatively high. Feel good about not losing this one.
Free Pick: Under 8.0 -120
YTD: 17-16-1 +0.92
2015: 31-25-5 +1.09
2014: 45-28-3 +9.02