It’s been a bit of a hiatus. And although the confidence is a little shattered after dropping into the red for the first time in a long while, I’m looking forward to August. That’s mostly because I’m finally back in the United States for a while. I’ll get to watch my first game of the 2015 season while our Little Leaguers compete in the World Series. So let’s get onto things!
I have the common dilemma I experience with Tuesday’s matchup between the Angels and White Sox. To me, the total is too high because of Hector Santiago. Not only does Chicago rank 29th in Major League Baseball in on-base percentage against left-handers, but Santiago really has been quite reliable all year. He’s coming off of three consecutive starts against touch offenses that weren’t disastrous but also not quite up to what LA fans have come to expect out of their screwballer. He should bounce back against one of the AL’s weakest lineups, especially with a little more sense of urgency after his team dropped the first game of the series last night. I’m definitely willing to bet on Santiago.
With Santiago on one side, a total of 8.5 looks pretty juicy on the under no matter who’s throwing for the other dugout. But Carlos Rodon‘s 19 earned runs over his last three starts are concerning. He hasn’t shown any sort of consistency this season and there’s some early reason to think that he’s possibly hit a rookie wall. The Angels don’t hit lefties especially well either but it’s a little scary that another blow-up could completely tank an under, no matter how well the man who fills us with more confidence throws. He’s walked 25 in his last nine starts and the even more recent trend is no better. For the Angels, it’s that time of year where every game means that much more and it makes me believe they’ll exploit the rook.
While I definitely think the under is worth a look, it just feels like a more comfortable spot to take the better team, pitcher in a good spot. Angels on the road; let’s come up for some air!
Free Pick: Angels -121
YTD: 14-12-4 -0.83
2014: 45-28-3 +9.02