Sonny Gray was the guy we thought he would be in Cincinnati and we still couldn’t find a way to pull it out five days ago. That’s what happens when you’re in a free fall, which is sort of what we’re in right now. Three straight losses has eaten up most of the bankroll we accumulated in the season’s first two months. Let’s turn to Boston to get things back on track here in June.
The Red Sox dropped the first game in what is already a pretty big home series with the Baltimore Orioles. Baltimore’s one-run win also gave it a one-game lead in the AL East with a whole long way to go. You still have to feel that Boston will outpace Baltimore over 162 and it just might start with a W tonight.
The biggest reason is Steven Wright who has been the Sox’s ace and will get the ball tonight. Wright threw one of his three complete games on the season in Camden Yards right at the end of May. He walked five and gave up two runs but he kept the Orioles in the park, which he is doing at a near mastery level this year. Wright hasn’t allowed a homer in any of his last four starts and has served up just three in 82 innings on the season. If the O’s aren’t hitting the ball out of the ballpark, expect a lot of strikeouts and few runs while big sluggers move base to base. For Wright, this is a great matchup.
Kevin Gaussman has also been pretty good in 2016, posting a 3.45 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 10 starts despite not having a single win. His worst start did come against the Red Sox, however, when he gave up five runs in six innings of work at Camden Yards. The under is tempting but we’ll just keep it simple and play the home side for half a unit.
Free Pick: Red Sox -125
YTD: 12-11-1 +1.02
2015: 31-25-5 +1.09
2014: 45-28-3 +9.02