Free pick with analysis – Bowling Green vs. Indiana

By College Football

Bowling Green vs. Indiana

Just when Hoosier fans thought their team might be turning the corner following a big time blowout of Indiana State, Indiana goes and lays a huge egg a week later against Navy.  Believe it or not, Indiana started to generate a bit of a buzz in Bloomington after the week one victory.  But in true Hoosier fashion, IU was dominated by a lousy opponent yet again – dousing any type of cautious optimism amongst the Indiana faithful.

To be fair, Indiana’s offense has looked pretty impressive in two games (albeit against week competition).  And head coach Kevin Wilson appears to have finally settled on a starting quarterback, wisely choosing to start Nate Sudfeld over Tre Roberson.  Sudfeld threw for 363 yards and 4 touchdowns against Navy.  Unfortunately for the Hoosiers it’s been déjà vu from years past when it comes to the defensive side of the ball.  While the offense is averaging 54 points a game and ranks 13th and 40th in the nation in passing and rushing, respectively, the defense currently ranks 109th in points allowed.  Indiana did not force a punt against Navy’s triple option attack en route to a 41-35 home loss as a double digit favorite.

Bowling Green visits Bloomington this weekend coming off two easy wins against Tulsa and Kent State.  The Falcons have been moving the ball with ease so far this season with a very balanced offensive attack.  Bowling Green is averaging 260 yards passing per game and another 226 yards on the ground.  Sophomore quarterback Matt Johnson has overtaken last season’s starter Matt Schilz by connecting on 30-48 passes on the young season, throwing for over 500 yards and 2 touchdowns in two games.

What will happen:  While the Bowling Green defense has been fairly efficient against two weak teams, they’ll be heavily tested against Indiana’s quick strike offense.  Indiana is more than capable of lighting up the scoreboard against mediocre teams.  But as shown last week against Navy (and even a bit in week 1) against Indiana State, the Hoosiers will struggle mightily to stop opponents all season.  Indiana will be forced to score a lot of points if they want to win this game.  Expect some offensive fireworks in Bloomington.

Prediction:  Bowling Green 44  Indiana 34

The Play:  OVER 62.5

2013 ATS Record: 4-2


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