Kent State -3 @ Eastern Michigan
Sometimes when looking for the best plays of the week, some of the more obscure match ups offer the best value. In week 6, we look to the MAC for a value play from a conference that can produce some great under the radar games. Kent State visits Eastern Michigan this Saturday in what may not be a match up of two of the best teams in the country, but who cares when it comes to beating the spread, right?
First things first, Eastern Michigan is downright horrible on offense. The Eagles rank 113th in rushing offense, 115th in passing offense and 118th in scoring offense. Yes, they’re that bad. And this includes an 18 point home loss to FCS school Illinois State. If Kent State has one main weakness, it’s in defending the pass. The Golden Flashes have a decent defense (despite the poor showing against Ball State who owns the best offense in the MAC) and they should have no problems with the anemic EMU offensive attack.
Conversely, Kent State has put together a formidable rushing attack that ranks 22nd in the country averaging just over 210 yards per game. Match the Kent State offensive line against an Eastern Michigan defensive front that is giving up 216 rushing yards per game (112th in the country), and it points to the Golden Flashes dominating on the ground. The Eagles have been decent defending the pass, however, expect Kent State to jump out early and control the ball throughout the game.
What will happen: Kent State will hit the ground running (literally). After a big win against Ball State a week ago, the Kent State rushing attack will continue to click on all cylinders. Look for the Golden Flashes to jump out to an early lead while daring Eastern Michigan to throw the ball. If Eastern Michigan falls behind, it spells big trouble for an Eagles team that struggles to move the ball throw the air against an opponent that is stout at stopping the run. Kent State’s offense will capitalize on a short field early while wearing down the EMU defense late in the game.
Prediction: Kent State 26 Eastern Michigan 10
The Play: Kent State -3 (5Dimes Sportsbook)
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