Free ATS Winner: Kansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette

By College Football

Kansas State -10 vs. Louisiana-Lafayette 

Week one was particularly pretty for either Kansas State or Louisana-Lafayette.  Following a terrific 2012 season, Kansas State opened 2013 with an embarrassing loss to two-time FCS national champions North Dakota State. The Wildcats blew a 21-7 lead and gave up an 80 yard touchdown drive that left less than a minute on the clock to seal the loss. The Rajun Cajuns of Louisana-Lafayette were supposed to give Arkansas a run for their money in the season opener in Fayetteville, but instead UL-L was run out of the stadium.

It was obvious but it didn’t take long to find out Kansas State would miss last season’s quarterback sensation Collin Klein. While new quarterback Jake Waters was effective passing for 280 yards and two scores, the defending Big 12 champions definitely missed Klein’s big play ability as the Wildcats managed to convert only 2 of 10 third downs. If there is a positive to come out of week one, it’s that North Dakota State is a pretty good team. Fact is, the Bison would probably finish in the middle of the Big 12 and that bodes well for a Kansas State team that while expecting a drop off from the success it had in 2012, still should fare well in 2013.  But if the Wildcats are going to turn the season around, they will have to do better on the ground as they managed to grind out only 41 yards against North Dakota State.

If there was ever a chance for Louisiana-Lafayette to break its 0-36 record against SEC teams, some thought they had a chance against the Razorbacks in week one.  Coming off a 9-4 season, the confidence that spilled over from a season ago was quickly erased as the Rajun’ Cajuns were physically manhandled giving up 292 yards rushing and were outgained for the game 522-274 yards.

Key stats: Kansas State has covered the following game in each of their previous 4 home losses.

What will happen:  A second loss to start the season would be disastrous for Kansas State.  Yes the loss to North Dakota State to start the season was a surprise in that it was a home game against an FCS opponent, but in reality this was a case of a decent team beating an average team. Louisiana-Lafayette is walking into a tough situation.  After being pushed around a week ago by an av

erage Arkansas team, they’ll be going up against a team looking to pound the ball on the ground and prove that week one was an aberration.  Wildcats quarterback Jake Waters will use the passing game to expose UL-L’s inexperienced secondary and set up the running game.  Kansas State is currently listed as a ten point favorite at  Expect a much more balanced effort from Kansas State en route to a relatively easy win and cover.

Prediction:  Kansas State 30  Louisiana-Lafayette 14

The Play:  Kansas State -10

2013 ATS Record: 3-0

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