Early ATP US Open Winner Predictions

By Tennis

US Open BettingThe month of July did not have much to offer in terms of tennis.  Wimbledon had finished up and most of the top players took the month off, with some playing a few Davis Cup matches.  August is shaping up better with the Rogers Cup and Western & Southern Open Masters Series events leading us up to the US Open, which is set to begin on the 29th of August.  Yes, that is still over a month away, but the odds are available and sometimes it is possible to find some very sharp early tennis betting odds from the bookmakers, before the betting public move them closer to what they should be.  I’ve checked several bookmakers and 5Dimes.com offers the best odds for every contender in the draw.  It’s nice when you can just look at one sportsbook and make all your bets knowing you’re receive the best possible lines.

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Here are the lines for the players who have a shot at the title.  There are probably only 3 players that have a legitimate shot (you know who they are), but we will list the top 6 or 7 because if there is one Grand Slam where anything is possible, it has to be the US Open.

  • Novak Djokovic +185
  • Rafael Nadal +355
  • Roger Federer +515
  • Andy Murray +1025
  • Juan Martin Del Potro +1075
  • Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +4500
  • Robin Soderling +5000

Novak Djokovic +185

It seems that Novak Djokovic is finally getting the recognition he deserves.  He was the 3rd favourite at Wimbledon after Nadal and Federer, but he came up with the championship without ever being in real doubt by never having to pull out a 5 set victory.  Novak is 48-1 on the season, having beat his biggest threat Nadal 5 times and only losing to Roger Federer on clay at Roland Garros.

Bet on Novak Djokovic? YES

Novak has to be a HUGE favourite here.  He will have an easy road to the finals where he will likely face Nadal, who he has beaten 5 times this year.

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Rafael Nadal +355

Nadal has not had the kind of success at the US Open that he has at other tournaments.  In fact he has only made the finals once in his career, winning last years tournament.  Last year Nadal was on top of his game and by far the best player in the game.  This year the same can be said about Djokovic.  Novak just seems to have Nadal’s number of late and if Nadal can even make it to the finals (he will likely have to defeat rival Federer), Djokovic should beat him handily.

Bet on Rafael Nadal? NO

Roger Federer +515

Federer is 39-9 this season and is the only player on tour to have defeated Novak Djokovic.  It was a thriling 4 set match in the semi-finals of Roland Garros, where both players put on a show.  Federer may be the only player on tour who is able to defeat Djokovic.  It seems Federer may have an idea of how to beat the Serbian (he has won 4 of their last 6 sets).

Bet on Roger Federer? YES

If Federer is on the top of his game he has the ability to defeat any player in the world.  Federer will have his hands full with Nadal if the pair meet in the semi-finals, but if he pulls out a victory there (which he can and has) then he will have a legitimate chance to add a 6th US Open title to his resume.  At over 5 to 1 odds this is a bet I’m glad to make.

Andy Murray +1025

Murray is a skilled player who has been playing very well of late, having only lost to either Nadal or Djokovic since early May, and he has been to the US Open final in 2008, but the top 3 are just too strong to place a bet on Murray, even at 10 to 1.  He will have to defeat Djokovic in the semi-finals and then either Nadal or Federer in the finals.  This will require a minor miracle.

Bet on Andy Murray? No

Juan Martin Del Potro +1075

Del Potro is trying to get back to the top of his game.  He won the US Open in 2009 and is 35-9 this season playing some strong tennis.  But the fact remains he’s not quite where he was in 2009 and the top players are that much better.  He is only losing to the very top players in the world of late, but he is still losing to them.  Del Potro has not defeated any of the big 3 this year and you should not expect him to start at the US Open.

Bet on Juan Martin Del Potro? No

The top players are just too good and it is nearly guaranteed that one of either Djokovic, Nadal or Federer will win this tournament.

Visit 5Dimes.com to check out more odds and see where your favorite ATP player stacks up.


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