John Riel Casimero vs Kyonosuke Kameda Betting Odds and Prediction

By Boxing

John Riel Casimero vs Kyonosuke Kameda Preview October 25th, 2025

Former junior flyweight, flyweight and bantamweight champion John Riel Casimero of the Philippines travels to Kyrgyzstan this Saturday, October 25th to take on Kyonosuke Kameda of Japan in a 10-round featherweight bout. Casimero last fought in a year ago when he stopped Saul Sanchez in just 161 seconds in Yokohama, Japan. Kameda last saw action in July when he dropped a 10-round majority decision to David Picasso. It was his second straight defeat as Luis Nery stopped Kameda in the seventh round in February.

Casimero vs Kameda Betting Odds

Here are the betting odds from online sportsbook BetOnline.ag (full review here).

  • Kyonosuke Kameda +162
  • John Riel Casimero -200

My Pick

The 36-year-old Casimero climbs into the ring with a mark of 34-4-1 with 23 Ko’s and has boxed 253 rounds since turning pro in 2007. He’s gone 9-2 in world title fights with 6 Ko’s and is 6-3 with 4 Ko’s against former, current, and future world champions as he has beaten Guillermo Rigondeaux, Zolani Tete, Luis Alberto Lazarte, Pedro Guevara, Amnat Ruenroeng and Charlie Edwards and was defeated by Ramon Garcia Hirales, Moruti Mthalane and Amnat Ruenroeng with Mthalane being the only man to stop him, which he did in five rounds in 2011.

Casimero’s other pro loss came at the hands of Jonas Sultan by 12-round unanimous decision in 2017. He’s also captured several regional and minor titles as a pro including the WBO Global Super Bantamweight Crown, the Philippines Boxing Federation Flyweight Title and the WBO Asia Pacific, Interim WBO and Interim IBF World Light Flyweight Titles. The former world champion previously held the IBF Light Flyweight Title from July 2012 to May 2014 and defended it three times as well as the IBF Flyweight Title from May to December 2016 which he defended once.

Casimero stands 5-feet-4-inches tall with a 64-inch reach and has pretty good power in his hands as 67.6 per cent of his wins have come by stoppage. He’s been stopped once himself, but has a pretty reliable chin. He’s a solid and underrated pro who isn’t really that well known outside of Asia but has gone 14-3-1 with 9 Ko’s when boxing outside of his homeland. He was supposed to unify the bantamweight title against Paul Butler a couple of years ago but made himself sick trying to make the weight and the proposed bout never came off, leading him to move up in weight.

The 27-year-old Kameda climbs through the ropes with a mark of 15-5-2 with 9 Ko’s and has boxed 115 rounds since making his pro debut in 2018. He stands just over 5-feet-9-inches tall with a 70.5-inch for a 5.5-inch height advantage on Casimero as well as 6.5-inches in reach. He has decent power as 60 per cent of his wins have come by stoppage. However he’s gone the distance in eight of his past 12 outings and was stopped by Luis Nery. Kameda, who hails from Osaka, was also stopped in his pro debut in 2018 as Shinnosuke Kimoto halted him in the second round.

Kameda bounced back though with three straight wins and was then held to a four-round draw by Ryugo Ushijima. Three fights later he dropped a four-round split decision to Jinki Maeda. Kameda won the vacant Japanese Youth Featherweight Title in 2021 when he stopped Tsubasa Narai in the second round but lost it in his first defence via an eight-round unanimous decision to Hiroki Hanabusa. The other draw on his record was an eight-round affair with Mugicha Nakagawa in 2023.

Prediction…

Although he’s now 36 years old, Casimero is still a dangerous puncher and world-class boxer who is hoping to become a four-weight world champion in the future. He can be careless at times though and has paid for it by being dropped to the canvas in the past and he often has trouble making weight. Kameda handled himself well against Nery and Picasso but fell short in both bouts. He has a big size advantage against Casimero though and could have some success if he puts it to use. Casimero is nine years older than Kameda and he’s going to have his hands full here. A Kameda win wouldn’t surprise me but if Casimero is in top shape and at his very best he should be able to do enough to have his hand raised.

A good matchup with Casimero having the edge in experience and power.

Play Casimero -200 @ BetOnline.ag

Check out my recent boxing betting picks to see my current form.


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