It’s rare for me to venture into the Pac 10, sorry I mean Pac 12 to make a play. I’m just not comfortable with the style of play in the conference for the most part. It’s not because I don’t love offense because I most certainly do. It’s more to do with the inconsistent or lack of defense played in most cases which makes it much more difficult to judge the games fairly. I don’t know that, that isn’t still the case but for reasons that are a mystery to even myself I found a game and more importantly a line that I have to take a chance on this week.
Arizona State -4
Arizona St 4-1 (SU) and 1-4 (ATS) head to Utah 2-2 (SU) and 1-3 (ATS) for a football contest. This is the inaugural season for Utah in the Pac 12 after leaving the Mountain West.
The Utes enter this game off a loss at Washington losing 31-14 as a 10 point favorite. Starting QB Jordan Wynn injured his shoulder in that game and is expected to not play this week. Junior QB Jon Hays is expected to get the start in his place. For me this information both confirms my play and at the same time makes me wonder about the line. I will get to that in a minute though.
ASU and Utah have not played each other since 1993 so even if you don’t generally use Head to Head as a parameter for measuring a game it really wouldn’t be a factor in this game anyway. A factor that can be a measuring stick is common opponents and both teams have played USC this season. ASU beat USC 43-22 at home while Utah lost 23-14 at Southern Cal. While it’s true that the comparison isn’t exactly fair because one was on the road and the other was at home it is still something. Personally for me common opponents are much more valuable in capping a game than head to head.
I have watched a little from both of these teams this season and there are good and bad on both squads but I am slightly more impressed with ASU both in the quarterback position and on defense. I know, I made a joke about Pac 12 and defense earlier but I’m speaking in relative terms at this point. I’m not saying defense as in Alabama or LSU, I’m comparing apples to apples even if these apples are filled with brown spots and worm holes.
Home advantage goes to Utah but QB play, receivers, and overall defense and common opponent goes to ASU.
Play: Arizona State -4
Written by: David Wallace