Twins @ Red Sox June 28 Free Pick

By MLB

A nightmare scenario unfolded at Fenway Park on Tuesday night when rain delayed the game for more than an hour and the Twins had to go to the bullpen in the third inning.

Alan Besenitz came on first and gave up three runs; Byron Buxton didn’t do him any favors in center field. His wild throw allowed a run to score that shouldn’t have.

Craig Breslow took his turn in the fourth and gave up two runs but Paul Molitor was in no position to get picky with his pitchers. Breslow tried to get three outs in the fifth but instead got zero. Another run scored, courtesy of a Brian Dozier error.

Matt Belisle actually did a remarkable job to escape the jam he inherited but created his own in the sixth when he gave up a two-out single with no one on. Eduardo Escobar booted the third out after that and the next guy up, Chris Young, took one over the Green Monster for a three-run homer.

Those of you who were following along at midnight know that the under was still alive because Drew Pomeranz and company was holding were holding the Twins to one run. Then Fernando Abad let us go to bed early when served one up to Escobar in the eighth. The final score was 9-2.

All things considered, it feels like we should get over last night quickly.

Free Pick

The total is 10.5 again tonight with Rick Porcello and Adalberto Mejia as the listed starters. I still think there’s some value with the under because neither offense is particularly explosive. Porcello pitched well in his last start but John Farrell left him in the game too long and he gave up two runs he shouldn’t have. When a struggling starter throws six good innings in 90-something pitches, take it. It still feels like Porcello will find his rhythm before long.

Meanwhile, until it’s Ervin Santana’s turn to start again, Minnesota’s pitching is in critical condition. The bullpen is another six innings fatigued and is in for another long night; Mejia averages less than five innings per start.

His splits are interesting, though. He’s more effective against righties and has been way better on the road than at home. In 10 starts, I’m not putting much stock in the latter but I wonder if John Farrell will start Mitch Moreland over Sam Travis.

He can probably flip a coin. Boston’s pitching is in so much better shape tonight that I’m happy to lay a run. The Sox are -160 straight-up and +120 on the runline. For the $100 bettor, $74 on the moneyline and $46 on the runline will give you Boston -1 at -120, which is my best buy.

Free Pick: Boston -1 (-120)


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